Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000041 0.000045 0.000049 0.000054 0.000059 0.000064 0.000071
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000041 0.000046 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000081
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000060 0.000071 0.000085
2025-12-14 0.000028 0.000034 0.000040 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000089
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000058 0.000073 0.000092
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000045 0.000057 0.000073 0.000094
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043 0.000056 0.000072 0.000096
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000043 0.000056 0.000074 0.000101
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000025 0.000033 0.000044 0.000058 0.000079 0.000110
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000029 0.000038 0.000052 0.000071 0.000099 0.000143
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000027 0.000036 0.000049 0.000069 0.000097 0.000142
2026-02-08 0.000019 0.000025 0.000034 0.000047 0.000067 0.000096 0.000143
2026-02-15 0.000018 0.000025 0.000034 0.000048 0.000069 0.000102 0.000156
2026-02-22 0.000017 0.000024 0.000033 0.000048 0.000070 0.000105 0.000165
2026-03-01 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000045 0.000068 0.000104 0.000167
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000021 0.000029 0.000044 0.000066 0.000102 0.000168
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000019 0.000028 0.000042 0.000065 0.000102 0.000171
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000040 0.000063 0.000101 0.000172
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000017 0.000025 0.000039 0.000061 0.000099 0.000172
2026-04-05 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000038 0.000061 0.000101 0.000179
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000039 0.000064 0.000107 0.000195
2026-04-19 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000046 0.000078 0.000136 0.000259
2026-04-26 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000044 0.000075 0.000133 0.000256